Shot quality, shot quantity, and tactics

One of the great things about soccer is that there are many ways to score goals and win games. I’ve been thinking a lot about why teams choose different tactics, and I decided to test some of my ideas with data. The results offer food for thought. Let’s start with two assumptions, which we’ll check against the data later: 1. There is a tradeoff between shot quality and shot quantity. This implies that shot quality isn’t fixed, and there’s a cost to improving it. Teams have at least two ways of creating high-quality shots. One is to keep passing the…
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