Registration and voting in medium-sized urban areas

In the previous post, I described my strategy for finding hints about obstacles to voting by Black people, and I presented some results from large urban areas. Today I’m presenting the same kinds of results for medium-sized urban areas. In my categorization, these areas had at least 50 Black respondents who were United States citizens at least 18 years of age in the November 2018 CPS. As a reminder, I’m looking to see how registration rates translate into voting rates for the Black community versus White voters in the same area, with simple controls for age, gender, income, and education….
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When does more registration lead to more voting?

In the last post here, I described the data from the November 2018 Current Population Survey. Now it’s time to discuss the strategy for linking registration and voting. In the United States, residents must register to vote before participating in an election. People usually need to register only once after moving to a new address or jurisdiction. So in a given year, the process will be different for those who need to register and those who don’t. As a result, later I may want to separate people who have registered in the same year as the election from those who…
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A first look at November 2018 CPS data on registration and voting

To begin this project on voting, I decided to look at publicly available data from the November 2018 Current Population Survey (CPS). The CPS is a monthly household survey taken by the Census Bureau in the Commerce Department with collaboration from the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Labor Department. People from around the United States are interviewed about basic aspects of their household and family units, with supplementary questions in some surveys to focus on specific topics. In November of federal election years – all the even-numbered years – the supplement is on elections. The November 2018 CPS involved…
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